Pre-Family Night Packers Roster Prediction

by Justis Mosqueda

With many already predicting their teams' regular season roster, I figured I might as well give it a shot. 

For reference, here's how many players by position have made Packers opening day rosters the past three seasons:

[Offense average of ~25]

QB-6 (average of 2)

RB-9 (average of 3)

FB-5 (average of 1.7)

WR-16 (average of 5.3)

TE-13 (average of 4.3)

OL-25 (average of 8.3)

[Defense average of ~25]

DL-18 (average of 6)

LB-27 (average of 9)

DB-32 (average of 10.7)

SPT-9 (average of 3)

OFFENSE (25)

QB: Aaron Rodgers, B.J. Coleman
RB: James Starks, Eddie Lacy, Johnathan Franklin
FB: John Kuhn
WR: Jordy Nelson, James Jones, Randall Cobb, Jarrett Boykin, Charles Johnson, Jeremy Ross
TE: Jermichael Finley, Andrew Quarless, Matthew Mulligan, Ryan Taylor
OT: Bryan Bulaga, Marshall Newhouse, Derek Sherrod, David Bakhtiari
OG: Josh Sitton, TJ Lang, Don Barclay, Greg Van Roten
OC: Evan Dietrich-Smith

DEFENSE (25)

DE: Datone Jones, Ryan Pickett, C.J. Wilson, Mike Daniels, Josh Boyd
NT: B.J. Raji, Johnny Jolly
OLB: Clay Matthews, Nick Perry, Mike Neal, Nate Palmer, Dezman Moses
ILB: A.J. Hawk, Brad Jones, Terrell Manning, Robert Francois, Sam Barrington
CB: Tramon Williams,  Sam Shields, Casey Hayward, Davon House, Micah Hyde
S: Morgan Burnett, M.D. Jennings, Jerron McMillian

SPECIAL TEAMS (3)

K: Mason Crosby
P: Tim Masthay
LS: Brett Goode

IR/PUP (4)

RB DuJuan Harris
WR Sederrik Cunningham (IR)
OG J.C. Tretter (IR)
DE Jerel Worthy

CUT (32)

QB Graham Harrell
RB Alex Green
RB Angelo Pease
FB Jonathan Amosa
WR Kevin Dorsey
WR Alex Gillett
WR Omarius Hines
WR Tyrone Walker
WR Myles White
TE Brandon Bostick
TE Jake Stoneburner
TE D.J. Williams
OT Andrew Datko
OT Kevin Hughes
OG Lane Taylor
OC Garth Gerhart
OC Patrick Lewis
NT Jordan Miller
NT Gilbert Pena
OLB Andy Mulumba
OLB Jarvis Reed
OLB Donte Savage
ILB Jamari Lattimore
CB Jarrett Bush
CB Loyce Means
CB James Nixon
CB Brandon Smith
S Chris Banjo
S David Fulton
S Chaz Powell
S Sean Richardson
K Giorgio Tavecchio

Comparing the three year average (rounded) and my projection:

QB 2-2
RB 3-3
FB 2-1
WR 5-6
TE 4-4
OL 8-9

DL 6-7
LB 9-10
DB 11-8

SPT 3-3

Red designates a position with a lesser projection of players per position than average, while blue designates an above average number of players making the roster.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Stephen Morris Video Scouting Report

by Justis Mosqueda

As an alternative to the video scouting report I did earlier this week, I figured I would type up notes for those of you wishing to get my opinion without sitting 10 minutes of TV tape.

DEEP BALL

-One of the best deep balls in the class.

-Vertical teams like Arizona, Cleveland, and Jacksonville should be on the lookout for him.

-Even incompletions are almost completions, rarely misses any pass by a significant amount.

TOO MANY SACKS

-Too skinny to be taking hits hits like option quarterbacks.

-Holding the onto the ball works both ways, patience also leads to big plays.

BUYS TIME

-A QB who can run, but chooses to look for the throw first.

-Underrated footwork is better than most claim it to be.

-Makes plays by moving, re-setting feet in and out of the pocket.

BALL DIES SHORT

-Passes will randomly die short on short throws.

-Happened in 3 of 5 games.

ROLLING LEFT; SIDELINE

-Again, underrated footwork.

-Russell Wilson comparisons are most likely due to height and ability to rollout/throw well to the left sideline.

TOUCH/PLACEMENT

-Knows who to throw it over/under and how to do it.

HARD COUNT

-Won the NC State game largely due to hard count, which lead to offside penalties/"Free Plays".

Morris throws the deep ball every time a free play is given to him (as every QB should).

READING/PROGRESSION

-Reads/progresses well when plays allowed to develop.

HEIGHT

-As stated earlier, height not an issue for me as much as weight, due to his release point.

-Only 2 tipped passes in 5 games.

DECISION MAKING

-Morris has confidence in himself, sometimes too much.

-Some passes might be due to system.

-Ball may not be smart balls, but the best way to throw them if you were asked to make them.

FINAL GRADE:
1st-2nd Round

SENIOR QB RANKING:
2nd

VIDEO SCOUTING REPORT:

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Updated 2014 Quarterback Rankings: 7/19/13

by Justis Mosqueda

1. Jeff Mathews, Cornell

6032, 225

[1st round]

2012 Redzone Stats [July 10th]
Jeff Mathews TD vs Yale [July 15th]

2. Stephen Morris, Miami

6014, 215

[1st-2nd round]
Video Scouting Report [July 19th]

2. David Fales, San Jose State

[Nevada-Reno, Monterrey Peninsula, Wyoming]

6013, 220

[1st-2nd round]

Pre-Scouting Report [May 25th]

2012 Redzone Stats [July 10th]

4. Tajh Boyd, Clemson

6004, 225

[Day 2]

Pre-Scouting Report [May 20th]

5. Zach Mettenberger, LSU

[Georgia, Butler]

6045, 230

[Late Day 2/ Early Day 3]

6. A.J. McCarron, Alabama ^1

6024, 214

[Early Day 3]

Pre-Scouting Report [May 23rd]

7. Derek Carr, Fresno State ^1

6026, 215

[Early Day 3]

Pre-Scouting Report [June 1st]

8. Bryn Renner, North Carolina v2

6024, 225

[Day 3]

9. Aaron Murray, Georgia

6004, 212

[Day 3]

Pre-Scouting Report [May 31st]

10. Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech (TE/ATH)

6052, 256

[Late Day 3/PFA]

Pre-Scouting Report [May 16th]

Senior Watch List:

Drew Allen, Syracuse* [Oklahoma]

Jordan Lynch, Northern Illinois

Casey Pachall, TCU

Underclassmen Watch List:

Blake Bortles, Central Florida

Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville

Devin Gardner, Michigan

Brett Hundley, UCLA +

Marcus Mariota, Oregon +

Brett Smith, Wyoming

2015 Watch List:

Bryan Bennett, SE Louisiana * [Oregon]

Brandon Bridge, South Alabama * [Alcorn State]

Cody Fajardo, Nevada

Kevin Hogan, Stanford +

Chuckie Keeton, Utah State

Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M +

Braxton Miller, Ohio State

Bryce Petty, Baylor *

Pete Thomas, North Carolina State * [Colorado State]

Clint Trickett, West Virginia * [Florida State]

The symbol (*) means the prospect is projected to be a starter for the first time at the program.
The symbol (+) means the prospect is a redshirt sophomore.

Watch lists are in alphabetical order.

Class-wide Links:

June Rankings

[2014 Prospects] Passing Charts

Quarterback Duels
Class of 2014 QBs in the Redzone

All heights and weights come from NFLDraftScout.com or are linked otherwise.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Class of 2014 QBs in the Redzone

by Justis Mosqueda

No matter what system you play in, the great equalizer is the redzone. Once you hit the 20, you stop caring so much about field position, and the focus goes to putting yourself into position to score within about three or so plays. I always find redzone numbers interesting, and I decided to compile the situational stats on the ten draftable quarterbacks in the 2014 class. The charts are listed game by game, then compiled in the last row.

Tajh Boyd [Clemson]

Derek Carr [Fresno St]

David Fales [San Jose St]

Jeff Mathews [Cornell]

(missing Bucknell/Columbia)

A.J. McCarron [Alabama]

Zach Mettenberger [LSU]

Stephen Morris [Miami]

Aaron Murray [Georgia]

Bryn Renner [North Carolina]

Logan Thomas [Virginia Tech]

Taking a deeper look, instead of looking at volume numbers, I broke down everyone's numbers by efficiency. The numbers I used were completion percentage (completions/pass attempts), interception percentage (interceptions/pass attempts), sack percentage (sacks/(pass attempts+sacks)), touchdown percentage (touchdowns/pass attempts), yards per attempt (passing yards/pass attempts), and yards per completion (passing yards/completions).

Interception Percentage

Sack Percentage

Touchdown Percentage

Yards Per Attempt

Yards Per Completion

Completion Percentage

Compiling the results of the efficiency stats, and giving all of them equal weight, this could be used as the rankings of the quarterbacks in the redzone:

The Mettenberger and Thomas numbers are disappointing, but the Mathews numbers were almost shocking to me. If I had to bet on why his numbers (sans YPC) are so low, I'd put a fair amount on his receiving corp. When watching him, his guys drop more balls than any non-Ebron player I've play for any of these quarterbacks. His yards per completion is good, showing that when his receivers actually catch the ball, they put up solid numbers.

Boyd's efficiency in the redzone is really astounding. Not only was he first in half the categories, and second in yards per attempt, but he was the best runner in the redzone, putting up 142 rushing yards and nine touchdowns on the ground.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Jeff Mathews TD vs Yale

by Justis Mosqueda

I was going through the Mathews vs Yale (2012) game on Draft Breakdown when I found a really good play by Mathews. You can't really tell in the video, but Mathews is calling an audible/hot route based on the defense's formation. There's only three players on the left side showing coverage: the corner, the safety, and the linebacker. Chances are, the linebacker can't hang with either of the receivers, which means that they will likely, or at least one for sure, be single-covered.

The slot (running a corner to the endzone) is in the linebacker's zone first. Mathews is reading the defense. All four rushers are picked up with two blockers to spare.

The slot switches to the safety's zone. The corner is near frozen (Mathews threw in a pump fake), and the linebacker is just taking up space. If the pass is thrown perfect, and the corner doesn't release deep too early, it should be a score. Again, all the rushers are taken care of.

Mathews strikes and puts it right above the corner's reach, across the opposite sideline of this throwing shoulder.

The receiver sticks the landing.

To put it into perspective, here's an opposite angle showing how tight of a hole the ball had to be thrown in.

The play is starts around 2:45 in this TV cut video.

The play starts around 9:50 in this coaches tape video.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Johnny Manziel kicked out of Manning Passing Academy

by Justis Mosqueda

A couple weeks ago, I wrote an article at Optimum Scouting. The gist of it is that Manziel 1) needed to get his act together and 2) isn't going to play another three years at Texas A&M.

Late Saturday, a source at the Manning Passing Academy gave me some quotes on Manziel's weekend.

"Something kinda unbelievable, Johnny Football was asked by the Mannings to leave, hence the reason why he didn't throw. [He] slept through all the staff meetings came out to practice only once. Amazing. [He] shouldn't do that anyway but definitely not to the Manning's. I never saw him once. Heard some ladies snapped a pic of him and McCarron in the bar and it hit twitter and he wasn't happy about that."

The picture he's referring to is this one:

RumorsandRants.com also has picked up the story.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

2014 Early Mock

by Justis Mosqueda

I'm going to host a GM mock on Twitter under the hashtag #2014EarlyMock. It will be five rounds and the order will be determined by Vegas odds. If you are interested in signing up, hit me up at twitter.com/justismosqueda. 

Order:

1 Jacksonville Jaguars (GM)

2 Oakland Raiders (GM)

3 Buffalo Bills (GM)

4 Arizona Cardinals (GM)

5 Tennessee Titans (GM)

6 New York Jets (GM)

7 Cleveland Browns (GM)

8 Carolina Panthers (GM)

9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (GM)

10 San Diego Chargers (GM)

11 Kansas City Chiefs (GM)

12 St. Louis Rams (GM)

13 Minnesota Vikings (GM)

14 Miami Dolphins (GM)

15 Indianapolis Colts (GM)

16 Detroit Lions (GM)

17 Washington Redskins (GM)

18 Philadelphia Eagles (GM)

19 Dallas Cowboys (GM)

20 Cincinnati Bengals (GM)

21 Chicago Bears (GM)

22 Pittsburgh Steelers (GM)

23 New York Giants (GM)

24 Baltimore Ravens (GM)

25 New Orleans Saints (GM)

26 Houston Texans (GM)

27 Atlanta Falcons (GM)

28 Green Bay Packers (GM)

29 Seattle Seahawks (GM)

30 New England Patriots (GM)

31 Denver Broncos (GM)

32 San Francisco 49ers (GM)

Rules:
1) True juniors can only be selected in the top three rounds.
2) Redshirt sophomores can only be selected in the top two rounds.
3) Redshirt juniors and seniors can be selected in all four rounds.
4) If a pick has been on the clock for more than 16 hours, there will be a vote to have a player assigned to said team.
5) You may trade 5th, 6th, 7th, players, and 2015 picks in the mock.

ROUND 1

1 Jacksonville Jaguars (GM) Teddy Bridgewater QB Louisville

2 Oakland Raiders (GM) Jadeveon Clowney DE South Carolina

3 Buffalo Bills (GM) Marqise Lee WR USC

4 Arizona Cardinals (GM) Taylor Lewan OT Michigan

5 Tennessee Titans (GM) Bradley Roby CB Ohio State

6 New York Jets (GM) Anthony Barr OLB UCLA

7 Cleveland Browns (GM) Aaron Lynch DE USF

8 Detroit Lions (GM) Jake Matthews OT Texas A&M

9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (GM) C.J. Mosley LB Alabama

10 San Diego Chargers (GM) Louis Nix DT Notre Dame

11 Kansas City Chiefs (GM) Sammy Watkins WR Clemson

12 St. Louis Rams (GM) Ryan Shazier LB Ohio State

13 Minnesota Vikings (GM) David Fales QB San Jose State

14 Miami Dolphins (GM) Stephon Tuitt DT Notre Dame

15 Indianapolis Colts (GM) Jordan Matthews WR Vanderbilt

16 Carolina Panthers (GM) Ifo Ekpre-Olomu CB Oregon

17 St. Louis Rams (GM) Cyril Richardson OG Baylor

18 Philadelphia Eagles (GM) Jason Verrett CB TCU

19 Dallas Cowboys (GM) Cyrus Kouandjio OT Alabama

20 Cleveland Browns (GM) Ha Ha Clinton-Dix S Alabama

21 Chicago Bears (GM) Gabe Jackson OG Mississippi State

22 Pittsburgh Steelers (GM) Timmy Jernigan DT Florida State

23 New York Giants (GM) Kyle Van Noy OLB BYU

24 Baltimore Ravens (GM) Colt Lyerla TE Oregon

25 New Orleans Saints (GM) Trent Murphy OLB Stanford

26 Houston Texans (GM) Tajh Boyd QB Clemson

27 Atlanta Falcons (GM) Will Sutton DT Arizona State

28 Green Bay Packers (GM) Ra'Shede Hageman DT Minnesota

29 Seattle Seahawks (GM) Demarcus Lawrence DE Boise State

30 New England Patriots (GM) Anthony Johnson DT LSU

31 Denver Broncos (GM) Jemea Thomas CB Georgia Tech

32 San Francisco 49ers (GM) Loucheiz Purifoy CB Florida

ROUND 2

33 Jacksonville Jaguars (GM) Morgan Breslin DE USC

34 Oakland Raiders (GM) Marcus Mariota QB Oregon

35 Buffalo Bills (GM) Antonio Richardson OT Tennessee

36 Arizona Cardinals (GM) Adrian Hubbard OLB Alabama

37 Tennessee Titans (GM) A.J. McCarron QB Alabama

38 New York Jets (GM) Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE Washington

39 Cincinnati Bengals (GM) Jeremiah Attaochu OLB Georgia Tech

40 Carolina Panthers (GM) Donte Moncrief WR Ole Miss

41 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (GM) Christian Jones OLB Florida State

42 San Diego Chargers (GM) Bene Benwikere CB San Jose State

43 Kansas City Chiefs (GM) Ty Zimmerman S Kansas State

44 St. Louis Rams (GM) De'Anthony Thomas RB Oregon

45 Minnesota Vikings (GM) Daniel McCullers DT Tennessee

46 Miami Dolphins (GM) James Hurst OT North Carolina

47 Baltimore Ravens (GM) Brandon Coleman WR Rutgers

48 Carolina Panthers (GM) Cody Hoffman WR BYU

49 Chicago Bears (GM) A.J. Johnson ILB Tennessee

50 Philadelphia Eagles (GM) Dominique Easley DE Florida

51 Dallas Cowboys (GM) Deandre Coleman DT California

52 Cincinnati Bengals (GM) Scott Crichton DE Oregon State 

53 Washington Redskins (GM) Cameron Irving OT Florida State

54 Pittsburgh Steelers (GM) Marcus Roberson CB Florida

55 New York Giants (GM) Kareem Martin DE North Carolina

56 New England Patriots (GM) C.J. Fiedorowicz TE Iowa

57 New Orleans Saints (GM) Eric Ebron TE North Carolina

58 Houston Texans (GM) Trey Depriest LB Alabama

59 Atlanta Falcons (GM) George Uko DT USC

60 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (GM) Jeff Mathews QB Cornell

61 Green Bay Packers (GM) Khalil Mack OLB Buffalo

62  New York Jets (GM) David Yankey OG Stanford

63 Denver Broncos (GM) Cornelius Lucas OT Kansas State

64 San Francisco 49ers (GM) Davante Adams WR Fresno State

ROUND 3

65 Jacksonville Jaguars (GM) Bishop Sankey RB Washington

66 Baltimore Ravens (GM) Andrew Jackson ILB Western Kentucky

67 Buffalo Bills (GM) Antone Exum CB Virginia Tech

68 Arizona Cardinals (GM) Stephen Morris QB Miami

69  Baltimore Ravens (GM) James Wilder RB Florida State

70 Indianapolis Colts (GM) Travis Swanson C Arkansas

71 Cleveland Browns (GM) Seantrel Henderson OT Miami

72 Detroit Lions (GM) Ronald Powell DE Florida

73 New York Jets (GM) Lamarcus Joyner DB Florida State

74 San Diego Chargers (GM) Kenny Ladler S Vanderbilt

75 Indianapolis Colts (GM) Henry Anderson DE Stanford

76 St. Louis Rams (GM) Craig Loston S LSU

77 Minnesota Vikings (GM) Yawin Smallwood LB UConn

78 Miami Dolphins (GM) Aaron Colvin CB Oklahoma

79 Indianapolis Colts (GM) Lache Seastrunk RB Baylor

80 Oakland Raiders (GM) Cassius Marsh DL UCLA

81 New Orleans Saints (GM) Darqueze Dennard CB Michigan State

82 New England Patriots (GM) Xavier Su'a Filo OG UCLA

83 Dallas Cowboys (GM) Ben Gardner DE Stanford

84 Seattle Seahawks (GM) Arthur Lynch TE Georgia

85 Green Bay Packers (GM) Kasen Williams WR Washington

86 Cleveland Browns (GM) Ed Stinson DE Alabama

87 New York Giants (GM) Dri Archer OW Kent State

88 Carolina Panthers (GM) CJ Barnett S Ohio State

89 Washington Redskins (GM) Greg Blair ILB Cincinnati

90 Oakland Raiders (GM) Odell Beckham JR WR LSU

91 Atlanta Falcons (GM) Shane Skov MLB Stanford

92 San Francisco 49ers (GM) Sean Parker S Washington

93 Minnesota Vikings (GM) Jackson Jeffcoat DE Texas

94 Philadelphia Eagles (GM) Chris Borland ILB Wisconsin

95 Cleveland Browns (GM) Jace Amaro TE Texas Tech

96 Miami Dolphins (GM) Danny Shelton DT Washington

ROUND 4

97 Jacksonville Jaguars (GM) Justin Gilbert CB Oklahoma State

98 Houston Texans (GM) Xavier Grimble TE USC

99 Buffalo Bills (GM) Zack Martin T Notre Dame

100 Arizona Cardinals (GM) Tre Boston S North Carolina

101 Tennessee Titans (GM) Ed Reynolds S Stanford

102 Atlanta Falcons (GM) Jalen Saunders WR Oklahoma

103 Denver Broncos (GM) Michael Campanero WR Wake Forest

104 Carolina Panthers (GM) JuWuan James OT Tennessee

105 Green Bay Packers (GM) Jack Mewhort OT Ohio State

106 San Diego Chargers (GM) Carl Bradford OLB Arizona State

107 St. Louis Rams (GM) Kony Ealy DT Missouri

108 St. Louis Rams (GM) Zach Mettenberger QB LSU

109 Minnesota Vikings (GM) Devin Street WR Pittsburgh

110 Green Bay Packers (GM) Ahmad Dixon S Baylor

111 San Francisco 49ers (GM) Bryan Stork C Florida

112 Detroit Lions (GM) Calvin Barnett DT Oklahoma State

113 Chicago Bears (GM) Ryan Grant WR Tulane

114 Philadelphia Eagles (GM) Austin Hill WR Arizona

115 Dallas Cowboys (GM) Chaz Sutton DE South Carolina

116 Cincinnati Bengals (GM) Silas Redd RB USC

117 Chicago Bears (GM) Bryn Renner QB North Carolina

118 Pittsburgh Steelers (GM)

119 New York Giants (GM) 

120 San Francisco 49ers (GM)

121 Washington Redskins (GM)

122 Houston Texans (GM)

123 Indianapolis Colts (GM)

124 Seattle Seahawks (GM)

125 Seattle Seahawks (GM)

126 Philadelphia Eagles (GM)

127 Denver Broncos (GM)

128 Miami Dolphins (GM)

Day 3/Future Picks/Player Trades:
Tampa Bay 5th->Seattle
Tampa Bay 6th-> Seattle
Washington 5th->Seattle
Green Bay 5th->Seattle
Green Bay 6th->Seattle
Patriots 5th-> Indianapolis
Green Bay 7th-> Washington
Tampa Bay 2015 2nd->Miami
New England 2015 7th->Indianapolis
Mason Foster-> Washington
Jabaal Sheard-> Cincinnati
Arthur Jones-> Indianapolis
Jon Beason-> Cincinnati
New York J 2015 5th-> Indianapolis
Bernard Pierce->Oakland
Baltimore 5th->San Francisco
Baltimore 7th-> San Francisco
Baltimore 2015 2nd-> San Francisco
Indianapolis 5th-> San Francisco
Indianapolis 6th-> San Fransisco
Indianpolis 2015 3rd->San Francisco
Oakland 5th-> Carolina
Washington 6th->New Orleans
Brandon Browner->Carolina
Philadelphia 2015 5th->New England
Philadelphia 5th->New England
Desean Jackson->New York Jets
New York Jets 2015 2nd->Philadelphia
New York Jets 2015 4th->Philadelphia
Miami 2015 1st->Green Bay
Green Bay 2015 6th->Miami
Miami 2015 3rd->San Francisco
Cleveland 6th->Miami
Oakland 6th->Houston
Atlanta 5th->Indianapolis

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Jeff Mathews in the Redzone

by Justis Mosqueda

After looking into David Fales's numbers in the redzone, I decided I'm going to do the same for every major college quarterback. Next up is Jeff Mathews, my number one rated QB in the 2014 class. Unfortunately, I was unable to gather a complete season of data for Mathews. I was unable to find the play by play sheets for the Cornell/Bucknell and the Cornell/Columbia games. If anyone is able to find them, I'd be glad to include them in the data. Let me know by sending me a tweet.

While Mathews plays a sub-division lower than David Fales, he had "worse" numbers in very single category. That might not be so much of a knock on Mathews and it's a pat on the back for Fales.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

David Fales in the Redzone

by Justis Mosqueda

One things consistently asked about quarterbacks is how they perform in the redzone (20 yards or closer to their opponent's endzone.) After my write up on David Fales, I decided to look a little deeper into his specifics. Instead of looking at entire games, I focused on him in the redzone. Below are David Fales's game-by-game-stats within 20 yards of pay dirt.

Fales didn't see a snap in the redzone against Stanford, although he did throw two strikes for touchdowns from the 21, but after that, he threw at least one ball in each game the rest of the season. I didn't count the UC-Davis game's stats because they play FCS ball, and I just wanted to look at FBS opponents. His touchdown:interception ratio of 17:1 is pretty crazy.

David Fales 2012 redzone stats: 28 of 47 for 277 yards, 17 touchdowns, 1 interception, 3 sacks, and 1 rush attempt for 4 yards.

While some think that Fales will have a stat drop, due to San Jose State moving from the WAC to the Mountain West, he still put up 10 of 19 for 92 yards, 7 touchdowns, 3 sacks, and 1 rush for 4 yards against the five teams (Stanford, Colorado State, San Diego State, Navy, and Utah State) which he faced in 2012, and will face in 2013.

You can check out David Fales in the redzone with these videos from the DraftBreakdown.com crew, here.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

2013 Quarterback Duels

by Justis Mosqueda

I compiled a list of the 18 quarterbacks I feel would be draftable if they declared in the 2013 draft. In an effort to ready myself for the 2013 season, I also compiled a list of games in which they face each-other (quarterback duel). October and November will be fun, but the first month and a half will be slow. October 26th will be very interesting for the underclassmen/west coast quarterback stock market. Some, like Braxton Miller and Devin Gardner, only play in one "quarterback duel" this year. Others, like A.J. McCarron, play a multitude of games, not including possible SEC Championship games and a bowl.

Seniors:
David Fales [San Jose State]
Stephen Morris [Miami]
Tajh Boyd [Clemson]
Zach Mettenberger [LSU]
Derek Carr [Fresno State]
A.J. McCarron [Alabama]
Bryn Renner [North Carolina]
Aaron Murray [Georgia]
Logan Thomas [Virginia Tech]

Juniors:
Teddy Bridgewater [Louisville]
Brett Smith [Wyoming]
Devin Gardner [Michigan]
Blake Bortles [UCF]
Braxton Miller [Ohio State]

Sophomores:
Marcus Mariota [Oregon]
Brett Hundley [UCLA]
Johnny "Football" Manziel [Texas A&M]
Kevin Hogan [Stanford]

August

8/31 Georgia (Aaron Murray) vs Clemson (Tajh Boyd)
8/31 Alabama (A.J. McCarron) vs Virginia Tech (Logan Thomas)

September

9/7 San Jose State (David Fales) vs Stanford (Kevin Hogan)
9/14 Alabama (A.J. McCarron) vs Texas A&M (Johnny Manziel)
9/28 LSU (Zach Mettenberger) vs Georgia (Aaron Murray)

October

10/5 North Carolina (Bryn Renner) vs Virginia Tech (Logan Thomas)
10/17 Miami (Stephen Morris) vs North Carolina (Bryn Renner)
10/18 UCF (Blake Bortles) vs Louisville (Teddy Bridgewater)
10/19 UCLA (Brett Hundley) vs Stanford (Kevin Hogan)
10/26 Wyoming (Brett Smith) vs San Jose State (David Fales)
10/26 Oregon (Marcus Mariota) vs UCLA (Brett Hundley)

November

11/7 Oregon (Marcus Mariota) vs Stanford (Kevin Hogan)
11/9 Virginia Tech (Logan Thomas) vs Miami (Stephen Morris)
11/9 Fresno State (Derek Carr) vs Wyoming (Brett Smith)
11/9 LSU (Zach Mettenberger) vs Alabama (A.J. McCarron)
11/23 Texas A&M (Johnny Manziel) vs LSU (Zach Mettenberger)
11/29 Fresno State (Derek Carr) vs San Jose State (David Fales)
11/30 Ohio State (Braxton Miller) vs Michigan (Devin Gardner)

Others to watch:
Drew Allen [Syracuse-Oklahoma transfer]
Jordan Lynch [Northern Illinois]
Pete Thomas [North Carolina State-Colorado State transfer]*
Chuckie Keeton [Utah State]*
Jameis Winston [Florida State]***

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda

Satellite Footage: Green Bay vs Houston

by Justis Mosqueda

I'd never seen satellite footage, until someone sent me a link to these videos yesterday. Think of it as a Madden angle instead of true coaches film. I have Game Rewind, but these are useful for people who aren't willing to dish out half a bill to see a game from a different angle. The channel also has the New Orleans/Denver game satellite footage.

Justis Mosqueda is a Journalism student who writes for OptimumScouting.com, DraftFalcons.com, Packers-Backer.blogspot.com, and cuts videos of NFL Draft prospects for DraftBreakdown.com

You can follow Justis on Twitter: Twitter.com/justismosqueda